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r/CFB NCAA '14 Tournament Simulation Hub

Hey all, this is now the sub for cfb NCAA '14 tournaments. In an effort to entertain ourselves, and you, we will be streaming a series of different tournaments during the 2020 CFB off season. You can sign up for notifications when we go live at
Typical streaming times will be Fridays 7:30 pm CST and Saturdays 11:00 am CST.
submitted by TheWoman_InBlack to NCAATournament

Rocket League Tournament Simulations

So I thought it would be interesting to create some sort of program that would be able to simulate major Rocket League tournaments. I imagine this similar to how when you turn on a major sporting event it gives the expected team win totals or probability of making the playoffs. I have created an R program that I can use to simulate tournament base on the Liquepdia ratings.I'll be posting the output from this model in the threads for major events.

Ratings - The ratings for this program come from the Liqupedia Rating System. Full disclosure I am not involved with Liquepeida and do not know the intricacies of this rating. Obviously the model will only be as good as the initial ratings, and I don't know how it handles roster moves, new teams, etc. I am using the API to pull in hte most recent data, but don't know how frequently it gets updated.

Method - From the Liquepdia ratings the following formula determines the win probability of a bo5 series.
1 / (1 + 10 ^ ((team1_rating - team2_rating) / 700)).
From there my R program run through simulates of the bracket to possible matchups.

Right now the program is fairly basic and requires manual set up of each event. Below is a list of additional features I am hoping to add roughly in order of importance and expected difficulty to add.
  1. The model right now only accounts for bo5 series. I have hoping to be able to reverse solve the probability of winning a single game based on the bo5 probabilities. This will allow the model to adjust series lengths and use individual games as tiebreakers for any formats that use them.
  2. Right now it only works with Double eliminatyion brackets and those brackets hbe to be manually create. I will; need to create further code to simulate other match formats, and also hope to find better ways to simulate the bracket creation.
  3. Ultimately I would like to be able to see if I can directly pull match results and have the model update in real time without having to manually input each match. this would also help for things like Swiss where the draw in between matches has some randomization.
  4. It would be really neat to see if I could create this as a website where anyone could go on and look at all teams probabilities. Eventually it would be neat to even allow users to make their own bracket to run for simulations.
if anyone has any other thoughts on features that would be neat to add let me know. It's a fun little side project and I'm interested to see what this can become!
submitted by Theman061393 to RocketLeagueEsports

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